Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 1.152836e-03 0.001296 0.001440 0.001596 0.001760 0.001925 0.002105
2025-04-06 9.351622e-04 0.001143 0.001360 0.001601 0.001860 0.002129 0.002427
2025-04-13 7.616164e-04 0.001016 0.001290 0.001604 0.001949 0.002314 0.002724
2025-04-20 6.068938e-04 0.000892 0.001212 0.001588 0.002010 0.002464 0.002981
2025-04-27 4.794486e-04 0.000786 0.001142 0.001573 0.002066 0.002603 0.003223
2025-05-04 4.118498e-04 0.000742 0.001140 0.001630 0.002199 0.002826 0.003556
2025-05-11 3.493887e-04 0.000697 0.001131 0.001675 0.002316 0.003028 0.003864
2025-05-18 2.379120e-04 0.000572 0.001013 0.001584 0.002271 0.003044 0.003961
2025-05-25 1.658755e-04 0.000489 0.000940 0.001542 0.002277 0.003115 0.004116
2025-06-01 1.134723e-04 0.000424 0.000886 0.001517 0.002301 0.003203 0.004288
2025-06-08 7.985942e-05 0.000383 0.000858 0.001523 0.002360 0.003329 0.004502
2025-06-15 6.284171e-05 0.000367 0.000865 0.001574 0.002471 0.003516 0.004785
2025-06-22 3.944702e-05 0.000333 0.000847 0.001594 0.002552 0.003676 0.005046
2025-06-29 1.987119e-05 0.000296 0.000820 0.001603 0.002618 0.003818 0.005288
2025-07-06 6.689565e-06 0.000261 0.000793 0.001609 0.002680 0.003955 0.005523
2025-07-13 8.070786e-08 0.000220 0.000753 0.001595 0.002715 0.004058 0.005720
2025-07-20 NaN 0.000184 0.000715 0.001581 0.002749 0.004159 0.005912
2025-07-27 NaN 0.000177 0.000728 0.001638 0.002874 0.004370 0.006233
2025-08-03 NaN 0.000166 0.000733 0.001684 0.002983 0.004562 0.006531
2025-08-10 NaN 0.000114 0.000647 0.001594 0.002913 0.004534 0.006569
2025-08-17 NaN 0.000082 0.000597 0.001551 0.002904 0.004578 0.006691
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000060 0.000559 0.001527 0.002916 0.004648 0.006842
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000048 0.000542 0.001533 0.002969 0.004767 0.007051